2012年中国地级以上城市房地产开发投资吸引力百强研究

　　2012年中国地级以上城市房地产开发投资吸引力百强研究　

　　目录

　　摘要 ································································································································ 1

　　一、 研究背景 ·················································································································· 3

　　二、 方法体系 ·················································································································· 5

　　三、 全国286 个地级以上城市开发投资吸引力评价结果分析 ······················································· 6

　　1. 评价结果：东北及中西部城市排名上升，与三大经济区差距缩小 ·············································· 6

　　2. 特点分析：城市分化显著，经济、城市化、购买力等因素共同决定投资吸引力 ···························· 8

　　1) 经济发展：整体增速放缓，二三线增长依然强劲；东部消费占比高，中西部靠投资拉动 ···························· 8

　　2) 房地产投资：二三线城市占比上升且增速远超一线，东北及中西部地区增速显著···································· 8

　　3) 商品房销售：长三角受调控影响较大，中西部有特色产业支撑的城市稳步增长 ········································ 9

　　4) 土地市场：西南和东北地区土地供应增长显著，品牌房企积极布局二三线城市····································· 10

　　5) 人口与城市化：人口集聚及城市化水平提高是房地产业的重要支撑······················································11

　　6) 居民购买力：收入增长及高储蓄带来强劲购买力，东中部一二线城市需求短期受压制 ····························· 12

　　7) 短期风险：部分二三线城市供应过剩，经济实力决定未来消化能力 ···················································· 12

　　四、 各区域城市投资吸引力评价结果 ···················································································· 13

　　1. 长三角地区：受调控影响最大，整体投资吸引力下降 ···························································· 13

　　2. 珠三角地区：广、深排名略有下降，但珠三角优势依旧强劲 ··················································· 14

　　3. 环渤海地区：京津优势明显，山东省各地级市实力不菲 ························································· 15

　　4. 中部地区：省会城市实力突出，部分地级市优势日趋凸显 ······················································ 16

　　5. 东北地区：工业和能源型城市市场容量大，辽宁整体表现依然突出 ·········································· 17

　　6. 西北地区：西安、内蒙古“金三角”在本地区优势明显 ························································· 18

　　7. 西南地区：丰富资源带动，进入全国前50 强城市增多··························································· 19

　　五、 结语：城市化进程稳步推进带来市场空间，但城市间分化进一步加剧 ........................................